Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.890616 1.016090 1.152690 1.312425 1.494082 1.694245 1.931551
2025-03-02 0.681391 0.849131 1.048038 1.301217 1.614917 1.990929 2.476105
2025-03-09 0.570109 0.756022 0.990136 1.306439 1.722664 2.251884 2.976483
2025-03-16 0.492831 0.687680 0.945416 1.311040 1.816418 2.490688 3.459667
2025-03-23 0.437120 0.637507 0.914123 1.323486 1.913952 2.735268 3.966046
2025-03-30 0.381086 0.578315 0.861210 1.296076 1.947772 2.888767 4.352833
2025-04-06 0.335369 0.527790 0.813638 1.268583 1.974613 3.029444 4.727851
2025-04-13 0.293505 0.477793 0.760623 1.225533 1.970813 3.120085 5.030322
2025-04-20 0.282842 0.475082 0.779150 1.294126 2.144805 3.495546 5.807575
2025-04-27 0.271474 0.469674 0.792220 1.354112 2.308924 3.867387 6.609844
2025-05-04 0.259688 0.462088 0.800494 1.406014 2.462961 4.233838 7.432973
2025-05-11 0.243727 0.445521 0.791761 1.427386 2.565752 4.521340 8.143962
2025-05-18 0.220924 0.414991 0.756804 1.400780 2.584439 4.669850 8.632147
2025-05-25 0.202771 0.391122 0.731424 1.388919 2.628313 4.866158 9.224073
2025-06-01 0.189069 0.374072 0.716576 1.394490 2.703611 5.123480 9.948146
2025-06-08 0.176661 0.358200 0.702292 1.399399 2.777304 5.382596 10.696195
2025-06-15 0.166455 0.345597 0.692953 1.412677 2.867633 5.679309 11.540771
2025-06-22 0.152384 0.323798 0.663636 1.383435 2.870855 5.807184 12.060768
2025-06-29 0.139694 0.303597 0.635637 1.354105 2.870790 5.927490 12.573937
2025-07-06 0.126585 0.281234 0.601208 1.308178 2.832018 5.965817 12.919366
2025-07-13 0.125803 0.285389 0.622241 1.381355 3.050172 6.548319 14.460449
2025-07-20 0.124058 0.287229 0.638440 1.445348 3.253731 7.115820 16.016039
2025-07-27 0.121555 0.287108 0.650319 1.500716 3.442799 7.666759 17.580508